Enterprise SaaS with certification-grade pricing.
A commercial SCADE license runs roughly €50,000–170,000 per year, quote-only. Dextra is priced against the verification effort it removes — not per seat — at a fraction of a full incumbent deployment, so formal verification, design-space exploration and certification artifacts are within reach of drone startups and tier-1 primes alike.
Studio
Drone startups, research labs
- Up to 5 engineers
- Drone / robotics focus
- ARM Cortex hardware targets
- EASA Specific (SORA) artifacts
- Email support
Professional
Tier-2 aerospace suppliers, growing drone OEMs
- Up to 20 engineers
- Aerospace + drone
- Multi-hardware design-space exploration
- DO-178C artifact generation
- Qualified-backend integration (Green Hills / SPARK Ada / SCADE)
- Dedicated CSM
Enterprise
Tier-1 primes, defence contractors
- Unlimited engineers
- All verticals (aerospace, defence, automotive, medical)
- Custom hardware target integration
- White-label certification artifacts
- On-premise deployment option
- SLA + security review
A multi-billion market with no adequate solution.
Software tooling for verification, validation & certification of safety-critical systems, plus the MBSE formalization front-end Dextra spans — growing to ~$16B by 2030. Directional range; scope stated (MBSE-tools + safety-critical V&V reports).
European & allied aerospace, defence, space and UAV certification & formal-verification tooling — Dextra's near-term wedge. Automotive ISO 26262 (~$1.2–1.6B) is the Phase-2 expansion.
Obtainable ARR by year 5 (~40–60 customers) — under 0.5% of SAM. Deliberately conservative.
What's driving the market
Defence budgets are surging
EU-27 defence spending reached a record €343B in 2024 (+19% YoY), heading to ~€392B in 2025; NATO set a 5%-of-GDP target for 2035. The European Defence Fund (~€8B) and the €150B SAFE instrument are funding the autonomous systems that need verified, certified software.
Software is eating safety-critical hardware
A premium car already runs ~100M lines of code, trending toward 300–600M by 2027. The automotive software & electronics market roughly doubles to ~$462–469B by 2030 (McKinsey) — about 4× the growth of vehicle sales — and the same complexity curve is bending across aerospace, space and defence.
Certification is the bottleneck, not capability
Verification and evidence consume 50–70% of DO-178C effort; a DAL-A evidence package can cost on the order of $100 per line of code. In eVTOL, Lilium burned over $1.5B and collapsed without a type certificate — the starkest proof that certification, not flight, is what kills these programs.
Digital engineering is now mandated
US DoDI 5000.97 (2023) makes digital engineering the default for new defence programs; INCOSE's SE Vision 2035 declares the discipline 'model-based.' The digital-thread market Dextra's verified outputs feed grows from ~$12B to ~$36B by 2030 (~21% CAGR).
Revenue trajectory
Illustrative projections, not commitments.
3–5 pilot customers plus EU grant funding (EIC Accelerator / EDF-EUDIS); ~€0.3–0.5M.
~10–15 customers, ~€1.5–2.5M ARR; automotive (ISO 26262) expansion begins.
~25–40 customers, ~€5–7M ARR; Series A.
~€8–12M ARR; strategic-acquisition optionality (Synopsys, Siemens, Dassault, MathWorks).
Comparable exits
- Esterel / SCADE → Ansys: ~$58M at ~3.9× revenue (2012)
- No Magic (Cameo MBSE) → Dassault Systèmes (2018, price undisclosed)
- Ansys — which owned SCADE — → Synopsys: ~$35B (announced 2024, closed 2025)
- AbsInt → long-running, profitable formal-verification niche (Airbus A340/A380, ATV docking software)
- Ketryx (AI for regulated engineering) → $39M Series B in 2025: investors are already funding this thesis
Nobody connects the whole pipeline. We do.
| Capability | SCADE | Simulink | UPPAAL | Dextra |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exhaustive formal verification (TCTL / timed automata) | partial | |||
| Verified / qualified code generation | partial | partial | ||
| Design-space exploration (Pareto) | ||||
| Hardware-software co-design | ||||
| Safety + security co-verification | partial | |||
| AI-assisted formalization (engineer-in-the-loop) | partial | |||
| Auto-generated certification artifacts | partial | partial | partial | |
| Accessible, published pricing | partial |
The integration is the moat
The pipeline — formalize, explore, verify, generate evidence — has no commercial equivalent. Hardware/software co-design and design-space exploration exist in research papers, not products; even Galois, the leading US defence formal-methods shop, hasn't productized it. The mathematics is battle-tested; the integration is not.
Certifiable, not just rigorous
DO-333 grants certification credit for model checking, so formal proof can offset the test campaign that dominates program cost — and Dextra turns that credit into DO-178C, EASA SORA, ECSS, DEF-STAN and ISO 26262 evidence a certifier accepts. Tightening regulation (CRA, SORA 2.5, DO-326A) only raises the value of proof-backed artifacts.
The timing didn't exist three years ago
Record defence spending (EU-27 €343B in 2024), regulation hardening into mandates, and AI finally making requirements formalization tractable have opened a window that wasn't there before — and the incumbents are built around the layers below and above the one Dextra owns.
Every number here has a source.
This page was rebuilt from cited public research. Market sizes are directional ranges with their scope stated; primary sources — NASA, NIST, McKinsey, IEEE, the European Commission and the standards bodies — lead wherever a claim is load-bearing. Key references:
- Verification share of DO-178C effort — Rapita Systems
- Cost-to-fix escalation by phase — NASA / NTRS (Stecklein et al.)
- Cost of inadequate software testing — NIST Planning Report 02-3
- DO-178C DAL-A ~$100/SLOC — Avionics Magazine / RTI
- SCADE pricing is quote-only — G2
- Synopsys acquires Ansys (~$35B) — Ansys
- EU-27 defence spending €343B (2024) — European Defence Agency
- Automotive software & electronics market — McKinsey
- A premium car runs ~100M lines of code — IEEE Spectrum
- Digital Thread market ~$12B→$36B — MarketsandMarkets
- DO-333 formal-methods certification credit — RTCA DO-178C
- EU Cyber Resilience Act — European Commission